5.18am EDT
05:18
Builders merchants: significant pressure on supply chains
It’s not just food and toys that are being affected by supply chain woes either.
Builders merchants business Grafton has warned that supply chain disruption has driven up prices of its raw materials, and predicted further problems in coming months.
In its latest financial results this morning, Grafton, which runs the Selco builders warehouse chain and the Woodie’s DIY chain in Ireland – said it saw “significant pressure” on the supply chain in the first half of this year.
There were shortages of core materials including aggregates, cement, plasterboard, treated timber, sheet materials, landscaping, steel and plastics in the first half of 2021, it says.
These shortages, particularly of core products such as timber, drove up Grafton’s costs by around 7.5% compared to the first half of last year.
And there are likely to be more problems ahead, Grafton adds.
It is expected that supply chains will continue to be disrupted to some extent over the coming months and we will continue to work with our partners to minimise the impact on our customers.
But despite these problems, Grafton made record adjusted operating profits and profit margins for the six months to 30 June — thanks to strong demand from builders as construction recovers from the pandemic.
(@LorcanAllen)
Grafton Group, the building materials company that owns Chadwick’s & Woodie’s in Ireland, reported record half year profits this morning thanks to surging materials prices and “exceptional demand” from builders. Full story on @businessposthq https://t.co/3auRyrDW8h
4.45am EDT
04:45
Iceland’s Richard Walker isn’t alone in warning that Christmas could be disrupted this year.
Gary Grant, founder and executive chairman of toy retail chain The Entertainer, told MailOnline that problems shipping goods in from overseas could lead to disruption.
Shortages of containers to bring goods in from Asia, and a jump in shipping costs, are a factor, he warned in a piece published yesterday on the “perfect storm” of Covid and Brexit that is gripping supply chains.
‘What is unique to us is that Christmas is a fixed date, so we are under extreme pressure at the moment to move as much stock as we can but are significantly behind with the shipment of products.
‘There’s not a shortage of toys, but what will happen as when we get nearer to Christmas the suppliers will not have to back-up stock that we’ve previously relied upon. So the range of stock we have may be narrower.’
Popular toys such as Paw Patrol, Barbie and Rainbocorns could be in short supply, Grand added.
(@MailOnline)
Buy Christmas toys NOW! Retailers warn of festive chaos as Brexit and Covid strangles global supply chains https://t.co/aMYvFH6nbx
4.39am EDT
04:39
Back on Monday, Iceland’s Richard Walker also warned that the UK faces a ‘2nd crap’ Christmas unless HGV drivers are temporarily added to the ‘skilled workers’ list:
(@icelandrichard)
HGV driver shortages should be replaced with UK workers – but this will take time. Before then, we’ve A LOT of goods to move around for Xmas. Temporarily adding EU drivers to the exempt list as ‘skilled workers’ is the answer. Nobody wants a 2nd crap Xmas
https://t.co/1Hm5f0TRju
4.22am EDT
04:22
Iceland boss: Christmas at risk from supply chain chaos
Christmas is at risk from the supply chain crisis unless the government adds HGV drivers to its skilled worker list quickly, the managing director of supermarket chain Iceland has warned this morning.
Speaking on Radio 4’s Today programme, Richard Walker explains that the UK faces “big shortages” of HGV (heavy goods vehicle) drivers, of around 100,000 drivers. Iceland itself is short of around 100 drivers. And he blames the government’s handling of Brexit for the problems.
The driver shortage is impacting the food supply chain on a daily basis, and leading to shortages on the shelves, Walker confirms.
We’ve had deliveries cancelled for the first time since the pandemic began, about 30 to 40 deliveries a day.
Fast-moving lines such as bread are being cancelled at around 100 stores a day, meaning Iceland is selling out of bread at some outlets and struggling to replenish its stocks quickly, while soft drink volumes are down 50%.
Walker explains that the festive season is now at risk, given it takes months for retailers to properly prepare:
Of course we’ve got Christmas around the corner, and in retail we start to stockbuild really from September onwards for what is a hugely important time of year.
We’ve got a lot of goods to transport between now and Christmas, and a strong supply chain is vital for everyone.
The reason for sounding the alarm now is that we’ve already had one Christmas cancelled at the last minute. I’d hate this one to be problematic as well.
The simple solution, Walker explains, is that heavy goods vehicle drivers need to be added to the UK’s skilled workers list, to help get drivers recruited from overseas.
These men and women, these HGV drivers, have kept the show on the road for 18 months during the pandemic and it’s criminal that we’re not viewing them as skilled workers.
Q: So is Brexit, and the departure of a lot of drivers, responsible for the supply chain problems?
Yes, Walker replies, but it’s a “self-inflicted wound” rather than an inevitable consequence of Brexit, caused (he says) by the government’s failure to appreciate the importance of HGV drivers.
Even if drivers were immediately added to the skilled workers list, it would take four to six weeks to get them onto the road (they need to be recruited, pass ‘right to work’ check, have a PCR test, and find somewhere to live), Walker warns.
It’s not a light switch that’ll happen overnight.
Longer term, we need to replace with UK workers, Walker adds [this is also what the UK government is pushing for].
It’s undoubtedly a tough job, and a skilled job, Walker says. Iceland is raising its pay rates at its depots, but bringing in UK workers into the industry will take time — and won’t help with Christmas.
I think the market will correct itself. But the problem with bringing in UK workers is that will take six months.
We need to find these people, train them up, they need to get Class One licences. We’ve got Christmas to sort out between now and then.
Other possible solutions, such as bringing in the army, longer hours, bigger trucks, are just “sticking plasters”, Walker concludes.
The average age of a HGV driver is 56. We need to recruit more domestically, but that will take time. In the meantime, let’s get them on the skilled worker list so that we can bring more drivers and get our supply chains running.
Updated
at 5.02am EDT
3.27am EDT
03:27
PA: Tourism hit by Brexit and Covid-19 amid surge in holidaymakers
The supply chain crisis is also hitting the UK tourism sector, as hoteliers and bar owners try to juggle a surge in holidaymakers and staff shortages.
PA Media’s Rod Minchin reports that hoteliers and bar owners have been hit by staff being taken ill with coronavirus, others isolating after being “pinged”, plus a recruitment crisis due to Brexit — and too little housing.
It meant some hotels were being forced to close rooms – while restaurants, cafes and bars were operating reduced opening hours and limiting menus — just as more people choose to holiday in the UK due to the international travel restrictions in place.
Nick Hayman, joint owner of the Fistral Beach Bar in Newquay, said there had been problems with furlough, Covid-19, a decline in EU workers and too little housing.
Hayman warned that staff shortages are acute:
“Hospitality is the first to get locked down and the last to reopen and a lot of people have not been able to get onto furlough and have struggled. It is really hard to find chefs.
“We’ve reduced covers, we’ve reduced opening hours and on a day-to-day basis we’ve had to look at how many staff we have got in and manage it accordingly.”
He said suppliers were struggling to meet orders, due to distribution problems, and he was reducing menus as a result.
“You can substitute drinks a lot more easily than food. It’s just random stuff that is not available – it’s just bizarre.
“Guacamole, tortilla chips and one week it was orange juice and another week it was apple juice and cranberry juice. It is random stuff and it is just down to distribution.”
Kim Conchie, chief executive of the Cornwall Chamber of Commerce, points to a lack of seasonal workers this summer, following Brexit. Shortage of accommodation add to this labour crisis – with the boom in holiday lets meaning seasonal workers struggle to find places to stay.
Mr Conchie explained:
“Traditionally we would normally have thousands of people from EU countries here working in hospitality having been trained in their own countries and that has more or less been cut off entirely.
“We used to have lots of people from northern cities working in places like Newquay for the summer and they problem they have is there is no housing as every landlord who has got a rental property has converted it into a holiday let.
“There is no accommodation at all for hospitality, care sector, agricultural or construction workers.”
Here’s the full story: Tourism industry hit by Brexit, Covid-19 and surge in holidaymakers
3.16am EDT
03:16
Introduction: Supply chain crisis deepening
Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of the world economy, the financial markets, the eurozone and business.
Britain’s supply chain crisis is deepening by the day, with retail stocks running low, supermarkets struggling to get their normal food ranges onto the shelves, and hospitality firms facing shortages.
Major retailers’ stock levels are at their lowest levels since at least the 1980s, the CBI warned yesterday, due to global supply chain disruption triggered by the pandemic and worker shortages in several key industrial sectors, compounded by Brexit disruption as the UK emerges from lockdown.
This shortage of workers and materials is worrying economists, who fear the recovery is at risk.
Andrew Sentance, a former member of the Bank of England’s monetary policy committee, warns:
“It’s quite striking, I don’t think we can dismiss this as a flash in the pan. Now that lockdown has been eased, we’re seeing a truer reflection of the impact of Brexit and issues building up before the pandemic.
“We could see this persisting for longer than people expect. Skills shortages could go on for a few years, the impact of Brexit on our ability to attract workers from the EU is not going to go away quickly and the process of training was quite significantly disrupted by the pandemic, when people were not working and furloughed.”
(@johnycassidy)
UK plunges towards supply chain crisis due to staff and transport disruption. Covid and Brexit have seen stock levels at their lowest for 38 years. https://t.co/RuUVFjm5aI
Back on Monday, UK factories warned that their stockpiles of materials had hit the worst on record (since 1977), with a lack of components for the electronics industry and in plastics.
The chief executive of the Co-operative Group has weighed in, warning that shoppers will face less choice.
Steve Murrells, chief executive of the Co-operative Group, has told The Times that the current food shortages are the worst he has known, with post-Brexit migration rules and Covid-19 making it harder to get food to the shelved.
Murrells warned:
“The shortages are at a worse level than at any time I have seen”
Murrells attributed the crisis to “Brexit and issues caused by Covid” — with the Co-op now retraining staff as lorry drivers in the face of an estimated 100,000 shortfall across the industry.
About 14,000 European lorry drivers left the UK last year and only 600 have returned, statistics suggest, the Times adds.
More here: Food shortages worst I have seen, says supermarket chief
With McDonalds running short of milkshakes and bottled drinks, the crisis is becoming increasingly widespread.
(@CityAM)
McDonald’s has confirmed it has run out of milkshakes and bottled drinks at its UK venues amid a national shortage of delivery drivers –> https://t.co/qd3OHDKBhl #McDonalds #milkshake #logistics #SupplyChain #supplychainmanagement #Brexit #Staffing
And if the situation keeps deteriorating, Christmas dinner staples like turkey and pigs in blankets could be at risk.
The British Meat Processors Association‘s chief executive Nick Allen says:
“Some of the pig processors are having to cut down on how many pigs they are processing a week so that’s starting to have an impact back on the farm.”
“We are cutting back and prioritising lines and cutting out on things, so there just won’t be the totals of Christmas favourites like we are used to.”
(@CityAM)
Post-Brexit staffing issues: Shortage of festive favourites like pigs in blankets and gammon looms https://t.co/vtUSUV5h8C pic.twitter.com/s9jCtVGUbL
But could longer lorries be part of the solution? The UK government, which has resisted calls to grant temporary work visas to heavy goods vehicle drivers from the EU, believes that extra-long “eco-friendly” lorries which cut down the number of freight journeys could be on the roads next year.
But there are concerns that such long vehicles could put pedestrians and cyclists at risk.
The Telegraph explains:
Longer-semi trailers (LSTs), which are up to 2.05m (6.8ft) longer than the current limit of 13.6m (45ft), could save up to one in eight journeys by fitting more freight in, according to a nine-year trial by the Department for Transport (DfT).
The Government had initially planned to conduct a 15-year trial until 2027, but last year consulted on ending the scheme early after it concluded that the experiment had yielded enough data.
Responses to the consultation were divided, with 57 per cent supporting an early end to the trial, and 43 per cent calling for LSTs to be removed from the roads entirely, over concern for vulnerable road users.
Full story: Longer, ‘greener’ lorries could be rolled out on Britain’s roads next year
The agenda
9am BST: IFO survey of Germany’s business climate
Noon BST: US weekly mortgage applications
1.30pm BST: US durable goods orders for July
Updated
at 3.35am EDT