6.08am EDT
06:08
Sturgeon urges Johnson to agree second independence referendum in ‘spirit of cooperation’
5.47am EDT
05:47
Coffey branded ‘heartless’ by Labour after saying she is happy with universal credit cut
5.29am EDT
05:29
Covid involved in 37.4% of deaths in unvaccinated people in first six months of 2021 – but just 0.8% of deaths in fully vaccinated people
4.38am EDT
04:38
Coffey says people losing GBP20 per week from UC cut could make up the money by working longer hours
4.24am EDT
04:24
Vaccine passports ‘haven’t been ruled out forever’, cabinet minister says
6.08am EDT
06:08
Sturgeon urges Johnson to agree second independence referendum in ‘spirit of cooperation’
In her speech to the SNP’s virtual conference later this morning Nicola Sturgeon, Scotland’s first minister, will urge the UK government to accept Scotland’s right to hold another independence referendum, urging Boris Johnson to act in a “spirit of cooperation”. In an extract from the speech released in advance this morning, she says:
My approach to government and to politics will be, as far as possible, cooperation not confrontation.
The experience of the pandemic and the challenges we face as a result reinforces my view that this is the right approach.
So it is in that spirit of cooperation that I hope the Scottish and UK governments can reach agreement – as we did in 2014 – to allow the democratic wishes of the people of Scotland to be heard and respected.
But, this much is clear. Democracy must – and will – prevail.
The United Kingdom is, after all, a voluntary union of nations. Until recently no-one seriously challenged the right of the people in Scotland to choose whether or not they wished to become independent.
Frankly it is not up to a Westminster government, which has just six MPs in Scotland, to decide our future without the consent of the people who live here.
As an independent country, cooperation between Scotland and our friends across the rest of the UK will continue, but it will be on a better basis: Scotland will be an equal partner.
Sturgeon’s appeal to the PM is worded in such a way as to suggest that her optimism has got the better of her judgment. Johnson has generally been careful not to rule out ever allowing a second independence referendum (because an unequivocal “no” polls badly in Scotland). But he has made it clear he has no interest in allowing one if he can avoid it, sometimes arguing that the 2014 poll was a once-in-a-generation event and sometimes arguing that the Covid crisis means holding one soon would be irresponsible.
(Sturgeon, of course, knows this as well as anyone. Her language is intended to expose Johnson as unreasonable.)
Updated
at 6.12am EDT
5.47am EDT
05:47
Coffey branded ‘heartless’ by Labour after saying she is happy with universal credit cut
In her interview with Sky News this morning, Therese Coffey, the work and pensions secretary, confirmed that she was happy with the government’s plan to cut universal credit by GBP20 from the end of this month (by removing the temporary Covid uplift).
Given that this is agreed cabinet policy, and that the cut has been defended by the prime minister and by the chancellor, she would have been taking a career risk if she had said anything else. But Labour MPs have condemned her comment.
This is from Wes Streeting, the shadow child poverty secretary.
(@wesstreeting)
ENTIRELY HAPPY?! Low paid workers in our country will lose GBP20 a week.
Including the 10% increase in National Insurance they will lose c. GBP1,300 a year.
For these working families, this will HURT. More children will end up in poverty.
Yet Therese Coffey is “entirely happy”. ? https://t.co/O5Y5gJP8yl
And this is from Nadia Whittome.
(@NadiaWhittomeMP)
When asked if she was “entirely happy” with the Universal Credit cut, Work & Pensions Secretary Therese Coffey agreed.
What kind of party is “entirely happy” with 730,000 children being plunged into poverty?
Truly heartless.
Updated
at 5.51am EDT
5.29am EDT
05:29
Covid involved in 37.4% of deaths in unvaccinated people in first six months of 2021 – but just 0.8% of deaths in fully vaccinated people
The Office for National Statistics has published a report on Covid deaths in England by vaccine status between 2 January and 2 July this year. Here are the main points.
Of the 51,281 Covid deaths in this period, just 640 occurred in people who had been double-vaccinated – and just 256 occurred in people who had been double-vaccinated and who first tested positive at least 14 days after their second dose. (Some of the 640 will have been infected before they were fully vaccinated.)
During this period, just 0.8% of deaths of people fully vaccinated for more than 21 days involved Covid – compared with 37.4% of deaths of unvaccinated people. (Vaccines are not regarded as fully effective until about two or three weeks after they have been administered, which is why 21 days is used as a cut-off in the statistics.)
The 256 people who first tested positive more than 14 days after their second vaccination and who went on to die – so-called “breakthrough deaths” – were older, more likely to be male, and more likely to be immunocompromised than other people dying from Covid.
Updated
at 5.45am EDT
4.38am EDT
04:38
Coffey says people losing GBP20 per week from UC cut could make up the money by working longer hours
Here are some more lines from Therese Coffey‘s morning interview round.
Coffey, the work and pensions secretary, said universal credit claimants who will lose GBP20 per week from next month when the Covid uplift is removed could make up the money by working extra hours. She told BBC Breakfast:
I’m conscious that GBP20 a week is about two hours’ extra work every week – we will be seeing what we can do to help people perhaps secure those extra hours, but ideally also to make sure they’re also in a place to get better-paid jobs as well.
She also said the government’s infrastructure spending might enable these people to get better paid jobs.
That’s where elements of the GBP650bn in infrastructure projects, supporting 425,000 jobs, [are relevant]. We can want to try and help people get on into those better-paid jobs, often in construction but other elements as well that go alongside these big major projects.
(@BBCBreakfast)
“GBP20 a week is about two hours extra work every week, we will be seeing what we can do help people perhaps secure those extra hours”
On #BBCBreakfast Work and Pension Secretary Therese Coffey says the increase to universal credit was always temporary.https://t.co/tHeCXwNJyZ pic.twitter.com/RbZNtIn3PQ
She claimed to be unaware of an internal government assessment by HM Revenue and Customs saying the proposed health and social care levy (the GBP12bn national insurance hike) could break up families. Asked about the analysis, which was reported in the Sunday Telegraph yesterday, she told LBC:
I’m not sure where that comes in on your questioning … I have not seen that report.
When asked why her team had not told her about a report that featured prominently in yesterday’s papers, she replied:
Well, I expect it’s an unquoted source and we don’t look into elements like that.
Here is an extract from the story, by the Sunday Telegraph’s Edward Malnick.
Boris Johnson’s National Insurance increase could result in the breakdown of families and deter companies from hiring new staff and increasing wages, according to the government’s own analysis.
A bombshell impact assessment produced by HM Revenue and Customs for the Treasury warned that one effect of the 1.25 percentage point tax increase “may be an impact on family formation, stability or breakdown as individuals, who are currently just about managing financially, will see their disposable income reduce” …
The analysis states that the new health and social care levy “is anticipated to have a significant macroeconomic impact” with consequences “for earnings, inflation and company profits”. “Behavioural effects” of the increase, which will take effect in April, “are likely to be large”, the analysis states, “and these will include decisions around whether to incorporate or not, and business decisions around wage bills and recruitment” …
Under a section headed “Impact on business”, the document states: “This measure is expected to have a significant impact on over 1.6 million employers who will be required to introduce this change.
“One-off costs will include familiarisation with the change and could also include updating software or systems to reflect the change. A further one-off cost could include updating employee payroll records to reflect this change. This measure will also impact payroll software providers who will have one-off cost of familiarisation and will also be required to update software to reflect this change, the cost of which may be passed onto customers.”
Coffey said that, if Covid cases got worse over the winter, people could be advised to resume working from home.
Updated
at 4.53am EDT
4.24am EDT
04:24
Vaccine passports ‘haven’t been ruled out forever’, cabinet minister says
Good morning. Dominic Cummings calls Boris Johnson the “shopping trolley” because he says the prime minister veers all over the place when making policy – and the evolution of the government’s policy on vaccine passports for England is a good example of where Cummings has got a point.
Originally the government ruled out the idea. Then, as the final lockdown restrictions were lifted in July, Johnson made the surprise announcement that from the end of September, people going to nightclubs would need to show proof of their vaccine status. Only last week, Nadhim Zahawi, the vaccines minister, said that remained the plan.
Yesterday Sajid Javid, the health secretary, told Sky News that the government was right to consider the idea. But an hour later he told the BBC that the government was not going ahead with vaccine passports.
However, as my colleague Aubrey Allegretti reports, Tory MPs who hate the idea of vaccine passports fear the idea has not been killed off for good. Javid also said yesterday that they would remain an option for the future and, in interviews this morning, Therese Coffey, the work and pensions secretary, said they were not ruled out forever. She told BBC Breakfast:
As Sajid Javid set out yesterday, although the formal decision is still to be made, but having reflected and looked at the details of the proposal that it’s not deemed necessary at this moment in time.
But they haven’t been ruled out forever. It’s reflecting the fact that a lot of young people have come forward and got their vaccinations over the summer.
With Johnson due to announce his winter plan for Covid tomorrow, there may be more about government coronavirus plans coming out today. We also have two potentially interesting reports on coronavirus coming from the ONS.
With the TUC and SNP conferences both taking place, there is plenty of non-Covid politics around today, too. Here is the agenda for the day.
9.30am: The ONS publishes figures on Covid deaths by vaccination status. It is also publishing a report on the impact of coronavirus on household finances.
10am: The TUC conference resumes. Frances O’Grady, the TUC general secretary, is speaking at 11am.
11.30am: Downing Street holds its daily lobby briefing.
11.50am: Nicola Sturgeon, Scotland’s first minister, gives a speech wrapping up the SNP’s online conference. Earlier, at 10.30am, Shona Robison, the housing and local government secretary, speaks.
Lunchtime: Boris Johnson is expected to record a short TV interview on a trip in the Midlands.
2.30pm: Therese Coffey, the work and pensions secretary, takes questions in the Commons.
For further Covid coverage, do read our global coronavirus live blog.
I try to monitor the comments below the line (BTL) but it is impossible to read them all. If you have a direct question, do include “Andrew” in it somewhere and I’m more likely to find it. I do try to answer questions, and if they are of general interest, I will post the question and reply above the line (ATL), although I can’t promise to do this for everyone.
If you want to attract my attention quickly, it is probably better to use Twitter. I’m on @AndrewSparrow.
Alternatively, you can email me at andrew.sparrow@theguardian.com
Updated
at 4.51am EDT